Campaign 2020: Science as an Issue.

Rarely throughout our nation’s history has science become an issue that could sway voters in their choice for president or other elected office. There was in fact a time, not too long ago that support for science had a wide bipartisan appeal. Oh, there were occasional debates over the total price tag for individual scientific projects but in general both Republicans and Democrats recognized the importance of scientific research both for growing our economy and for America’s standing in the world. How naïve and innocent those days now seem.

There was a time when ‘Big Science’ was one thing both parties in the US agreed upon. Science was considered a key component in both the economy and defense. (Credit: SlidePlayer)

In today’s America, whether it be evolution or environmental issues or now even how to fight the Covid-19 pandemic, science and empirical thought in general have become politicized to a degree unknown in American history. In its efforts to energize its base, and please its billionaire masters the Republican Party has gone to considerable lengths to confuse and undermine public confidence in basic scientific knowledge.

In their efforts to corner the evangelical vote republicans began to question if not try to discredit basic scientific research. (Credit: Teitter)
And in their desire to keep the fossil fuel industry funding their campaigns the republicans have turned a blind eye toward the poisoning of our planet. (Credit: Star Tribune)

The election of Donald Trump sent this ‘war on science’ into overdrive. A habitual liar by nature Trump has unquestionably spent more of his time attacking the facts that have been gathered by the governmental agencies it is his job to manage than he has attacking America’s foreign enemies.

On a number of vital issues Trump has taken Putin’s word against the work of the US intelligence agencies. (Credit: Madison.com)

Indeed Trump has interfered on numerous occasions with government scientists trying to do their jobs. Perhaps the most egregious incident came in 2019 when in a tweet Trump erroneously added Alabama to an official National Hurricane Center list of states at risk from hurricane Dorian which was approaching the US. Rather than simply admitting to having made a tiny mistake Trump insisted that he was right, going so far as to personally, and ineptly, alter and falsify an official hurricane projection map with a black sharpie marker.

Trump displays the hurricane forecast map that he himself had clumsily altered rather than admit that he had made a minor mistake. (Credit: The Guardian)

Such disdain for the truth is more than simply dishonest, it is extremely dangerous. We all know that making the right decision depends on facing the facts and accepting reality. This is true in our own private lives as it is in government. The whole purpose of government scientists and data taking bureaucrats is to provide the facts to our elected leaders. It is risky enough when those leaders choose to ignore the facts presented to them but when they attempt to portray their own prejudices as facts it is a recipe for disaster.

In fact the Trump administration’s response to the Covid-19 pandemic is an excellent example of what can happen when a government replaces facts with lies and reality with delusion. The false statements that Donald Trump has made about Cov-19 are well documented. From “like a miracle it will just go away,” to “we’re turning a corner” it’s just been one lie after another. All while more than 220,000 Americans have died.

Trump’s only actual efforts concerning Covid-19 have been to lie and lie and lie. (Credit: CNN.com)

Now we face the distinct possibility that Donald Trump may overrule the Food And Drug administration’s scientists and release a vaccine before it has completed testing. The consequences of such a bulldozing of scientific and medical norms could destroy all trust in the safety and efficacy of, not only of any vaccine for Covid-19 but for vaccines in general.

Trump’s push to get a Covid-19 vaccine has many people concerned that important safety procedures will be bypassed. (Credit: ABC News)

I had only just begun to compose this post when the news broke of President Donald Trump’s own diagnosis for Covid-19. The irony of how Trump, who had downplayed, denied, ignored and even told boldfaced lies about the pandemic’s deadly spread throughout the US has become a victim of his own reckless and irresponsibility behavior is certainly historic. It certainly says a great deal about how Trump always places his own personal desires above, not just the health and welfare of others but literally above everything else including his own health.

Despite having contracted Covid-19 himself Trump continues to hold massive rallies that risk the health of everyone and anyone who attends. (Credit: The DesMoines Register)

And the consequences of that irresponsibility to not only Trump himself but to his supporters are becoming clear as every hour another campaign official, senior White House advisor or GOP member of Congress tests positive for Covid-19. Add to that the question of whether Trump knew that he was positive when he attended fundraisers in Minnesota and New Jersey, potentially putting the health of those he came in contact with at risk and the President’s reckless behavior verges on the criminal. All of this demonstrates exactly how dangerous Donald Trump’s arrogant ignorance and determination to force his will onto the facts presented to him by scientists, doctors and other experts is to the future of our country.

The attitude of Joe Biden, the democratic candidate for President, to science and basic knowledge in general serves as a stark contrast to that of Donald Trump. Throughout his years in congress the former Vice-President had always shown the greatest respect for scientific fact and the opinions of experts. Whether it be the dangers of pollution and climate change or the attempted interference in our elections by foreign powers Biden has always sought for and based his decisions on the best evidence available from those whose job it is to gather that evidence. A Biden administration will be one that at the very least tries to do the right thing to solve the problems of this country instead of simply lying its way through those problems.

Joe Biden’s responsible behavior, such as wearing a mask to slow the spread of Covid-19, stands in stark contrast to his rival’s dangerous nature. (Credit: Forbes)

During all of those years in congress Biden has been at the forefront of the fight for stricter environmental rules to control all forms of pollution. Then, as Vice-President under Barack Obama, Biden worked on many sustainable energy projects and other ‘green’ initiatives. As President Biden can be expected to continue the work of trying to clean up the environment as well as simply returning science to its proper place as a guide toward the future of our nation.

As Vice-President Joe Biden took the lead in efforts to solve environmental problems, especially Climate Change. (Credit: Joe Biden for President)

The choice this year is so clear, so indisputable that scientific organizations and publications who have for many years strictly avoided taking any sides in any political debate have in this election decided that they cannot remain silent. Scientific American magazine, which had never in its 175-year history endorsed a political candidate, has endorsed Joe Biden for President, accusing Donald Trump of dismissing science. At the same time the 208-year-old New England Journal of Medicine recently published its first ever editorial dealing with politics referring to the Trump Administration’s response to Covid-19 as “Dangerously Incompetent” and calling for voters to remove him from office. The fact that these two apolitical institutes should reverse centuries of tradition in order to voice their opposition to another four years of Donald Trump is telling.

Scientists in general try to keep their political views private but this election has forced the scientific community to come out in strong support for Joe Biden. (Credit: Daily Mail)

One recent episode illustrates very succinctly the difference between Trump’s and Biden’s attitudes toward science. At a rally in Nevada on the 18th of October Donald Trump actually accused his rival of ‘Listening to the Scientists”. The democratic nominee quickly replied with the one word answer of “Yes!!”

Donald Trump in the act of accusing Joe Biden of ‘Listening to Scientists’. (Credit: Snopes.com)

The word science is just Latin for knowledge, truth. The question in this election is simply this, is the United States to be governed by a man who at least respects the truth, or by someone to whom lying is a lifelong habit?

Election 2020: The Economy

I guess just about everyone in the world knows by now that we here in the U.S.A. are having a Presidential Election this November. Now in this year’s election the choice could not be starker but it’s important in every election to get past the rhetoric and name calling to try to look at the facts and to me facts mean numbers. Therefore over the next several weeks I will be looking at the issues in the race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden as objectively as I can.

The Choice in this year’s election. Donald Trump (l) versus Joe Biden (r). (Credit: The Atlantic)

In this post I will be taking a look at the US economy, comparing how it has performed under Donald Trump and comparing that to both his promises concerning economic growth but also against that the our Previous President Barack Obama, whom Joe Biden served as Vice-President.

Now in most elections the economy is by far the most important issue. This year however other issues, particularly the Covid-19 Pandemic, have pretty much pushed it aside but nevertheless the economy remains one issue where it is possible to point to unequivocal facts, job growth, GDP growth and federal budget deficits. Because of the quantitative nature of the economy it is possible to make objective assessments.

This year however the economy has suffered a devastating blow because of the Covid-19 outbreak, an event that Donald Trump cannot be blamed for. In order to be fair therefore I will only use the economic numbers from Trump’s first three years as President and compare them to the economy of Barack Obama’s last three years in office, as well as Trump’s own promises about the economy made during his campaign in 2016.

Claims for unemployment exploded in March of 2020. No administration could have been prepared for that initial disaster so economic comparisons for the Trump administration are only valid for the period before Covid-19. (Credit: USA Today)

Let’s start with the jobs figures because that always seems to be the economic measurement most important to politicians. In the first three years of his presidency, again before covid-19 hit, the US economy under Donald Trump gained six million, five hundred and nineteen thousand jobs (6,519,000) an impressive number. That’s an average of 181,000 jobs every month, bringing the unemployment percentage down to a very low 3.6%.

However it has to be remembered that Trump inherited a very strong, job creating economy from his predecessor Barack Obama. Unemployment when Trump took office was already very low, only 4.7%. In fact during the last three years of his presidency the labour market under Obama gained over eight million jobs, 8,067,000 to be exact. More than a million and a half more jobs than in Trump’s economy. The average monthly job gain for Obama works out to be 224,000 jobs. In fact 25% more jobs were created during Obama’s last three years than were created during Trump’s first three years. And remember Obama inherited an economy in the throes of the worst financial crisis since the great depression, the unemployment percentage was 7.8% when Obama took office and dropping rapidly.

Unemployment spiked during the financial collapse at the end of the George W. Bush administration. Barack Obama spend his entire 8 years in office repairing that damage. Trump was merely continued the Obama trend UNTIL the Covid-19 pandemic struck. (Credit: Business Insider)

Not only that but in an effort to create more jobs Trump used the old trick of lowering taxes, which of course led to a sharp rise in the federal deficit. In fact whereas Obama had received a budget deficit of over 1.44 Trillion dollars from President Bush he had in his eight years in office succeeded in lowering that figure to $585 Billion, a 60% reduction.

The tax cut engineered by Trump and the republicans certainly benefited rich Americans. How much of that money did you see? (Credit: ITEP)

The deficit under Trump however has increased to $960 billion, a 64% increase in only three years. If we again compare Trump’s performance in his first three years to that of Obama’s last three years we find that the Trump administration has borrowed $2.4 Trillion, 56% more than Obama’s $1.538 Trillion. And that’s all before the Covid-19 pandemic.

Obama inherited a massive deficit from Bush and spent his 8 years in office trying to get it under control. Trump has again increased federal borrowing and that was BEFORE Covid. (Credit: CNN.com)

  The economic statistic that really captures the overall improvement in the economy is growth in Gross Domestic Product or GDP. GDP is just the sum total of all economic activity, in other words every time money legally changes hands. Every product sold, every bit of labour paid for, it all goes into GPD and a healthy economy has a GDP that is growing faster than inflation.

Growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) since 2000. aside from the financial crisis at the end of Bush’s term there’s really little difference between all three of them. Trump cannot claim to have kept his promise of 4% growth. (Credit: Business Insider)

For the first three years of his presidency Donald Trump has succeeded in growing the economy at an average percentage of 2.5% as compared to Obama’s yearly average of 2.36%. However it should be pointed out that Trump promised a yearly increase in GDP of more than 4%.

That was in many ways his biggest promise, he’s a businessman after all and his ability to handle our economy is supposed to be the chief reason to vote for him. Throughout his career Donald Trump has bragged about his money-making abilities. However the reality of his four bankrupt casinos, the failure of Trump airlines, Trump magazine and Trump steaks tells a very different story.

Remember Trump Magazine? Neither does anyone else. It’s just one of countless business failures Donald doesn’t talk about! (Credit: Politico)

If Donald Trump can’t deliver on his economic promises, if in fact the Trump economy is little different from the Obama economy. If Trump’s only real economic idea was a trillion dollar tax cut, 67% of which went to the richest 1% of Americans, should the self proclaimed ‘King of Debt’ be given another fours years to give away more of our countries wealth?

Donald Trump has frequency proclaimed himself ‘The King of Debt’. Why would any rational person trust someone like that with our Nation’s economy? (Credit: Illinois Review)

The plain fact of the matter is that whatever Donald Trump may say he is not a businessman, never has been and never will be. Donald trump is a salesman who is very good at talking people into doing what he wants, investing in his business ventures, but who is incapable of doing the actual work of managing a business. All of his projects start off in a blaze of publicity only to collapse in a chaos of mismanagement.

Would you buy a used economy from this man? We did! (Credit: Twitter)

 The facts show that Donald Trump is no ‘Stable Genius’ where handling our economy is concerned. Instead, as he has always done, Trump just exaggerates his own achievements while belittling those of anyone else. In the end his claim to being the one man who can restore our economy after Covid-19 has no actual data to back it up. 

P.S. Just a few days after I published this post the New York Times announced that they have succeeded in obtaining Donald Trump’s tax returns and other financial documents for the past twenty years. The Times’ story details how Trump has lied to, cheated and manipulated his investors, the banks who lent him money as well as the US government. I heartily recommend that anyone check out the story by following this link. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/09/27/us/donald-trump-taxes.html