Space News for February 2021.

It’s been a busy month. There have been three, count’em three robotic space probes reaching Mars this month and on top of that there have been several announcements that deal with human space flight, both the Artemis program and commercial space flight. Let’s start with the Mars probes.

Uh! Actually the United Arab Emirates Amal ‘Hope’ space probe is now in orbit around Mars! (Credit: Smithsonian Magazine)

Last July three different nations, China, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and the US all launched space probes towards Mars. The reason why all three probes were launched at nearly the same time is that as Earth and the Red Planet orbit around the Sun once every 26 months they come into a position where the energy cost, and therefore the dollar cost of going from Earth to Mars is a minimum. Last July was just such a minimum and because of this fact of orbital dynamics for the last several decades about every two years somebody has been sending a probe, or more than one, to Mars.

China’s Tianwen-1 probe entered Mars orbit just one day after the UAE’s Amal. The Chinese probe still has the most hazardous part of its mission ahead of it as the lander portion, under the canopy, has to descend to the Martian surface. (Credit: SimpleRockets 2)

While the US has sent more probes to Mars than any nation the other two of this year’s probes to the Red Planet are the first for the UAE and China. Things started off with the UAE’s ‘Amal’ orbital probe that was launched last July 19th aboard a Japanese H-IIA rocket and is the simplest of the three missions. Amal, the word is Arabic for hope, entered its initial orbit around Mars on February 9th after successfully firing its braking rockets for 27 minutes to slow its speed.

While the Amal probe was built in the UAE it was launched by a Japanese rocket. (Credit: DNA India)

Amal will now spend the next three months testing its instruments and adjusting its orbit to its designed altitude before starting to observe the Red planet. The probe carries three main experiments that are designed to observe the weather on Mars as well as to monitor the leaking of Mar’s atmosphere into space. UAE’s success with Amal makes them only the fifth nation to succeed in reaching Mars with the others being the US, the Soviet Union, the European Space Agency (ESA) and India.

The complex Tianwen-1 probe was both built and launched entirely by China clearly showing that the Asian superpower is now in the forefront of space exploration! (Credit: The New York Times)

China became the sixth nation to do so just one day later as their Tianwen-1 mission also successfully entered Mars orbit on February 10th. Of the three missions China’s is the most complex with the probe containing an orbiter module, a lander and even a small rover which is carried on the lander. As with the UAE’s hope, the Tianwen-1 will spend the next few weeks checking out its equipment and adjusting its orbit before beginning its work of studying the Red Planet.

Artists illustration of the Tianwen-1 lander ready to deploy its rover. If successful this would make China only the second nation to place a rover on the Marian surface. (Credit: Business Standard)

Tianwen-1’s first task will be to search for the best possible landing site for the probe’s 240 kg rover. Although a landing site somewhere in the Utopia Planitia region of the Martian surface has been mentioned by Chinese space authorities the exact choice of the landing site will probably not be made until May or June. Once the site has been chosen the Tianwen-1 probe will separate and the lander, carrying the rover, will attempt a soft touchdown on Mars. If successful this landing would make China only the second nation, after the US, to place a spacecraft on the surface of the Red Planet.

The final space probe to reach Mars this year is NASA’s Perseverance rover. As with the US space agency’s other Martian landers, Perseverance did not first go into Martian orbit but instead plunged directly into the Red Planet’s atmosphere in a maneuver that has been referred to as seven minutes of terror.

Perseverance is NASA’s fifth Martian rover with each one increasing in size, complexity and mission capability. (Credit: DOGO News)

 You see right now Mars is so far away that it takes a radio signal traveling at the speed of light about 11.5 minutes to make a round trip to Earth and back. That means that any space probe reaching Mars: Amal and Tianwen-1 as well as Perseverance must accomplish all of their insertion maneuvers on their own, without any instructions from Earth. So during the most critical parts of the missions the scientists back here on Earth can only sit back and pray that everything will go right.

Radio waves travel at the speed of light, so as a space probe gets millions of kilometers from the Earth there is a delay in communications as the radio signals travel back and forth. (Credit: www.qrg.northwestern.edu)

Turned out everything went like clockwork. “Touchdown confirmed,” was the call from the jet Propulsion Labouratory (JPL) at 3:55 PM on the 18th of February as the rover landed successfully at its target, a Martian crater named Jezero. Unlike previous Martian rovers, whose landing sites were selected to be wide open, flat and ‘safe’, Jezero is much rougher, but much more interesting terrain with evidence from orbit indicating that it was once a crater lake fed by two or more rivers. Planetary scientists feel that if Mars ever did possess life Jezero is one of the best places to go looking for it.

Incredible views of Perseverance actually landing on Mars. (Credit: SciTechDaily)

Although Perseverance has already sent back several images of its landing area the engineers at JPL will spend the next 90 days checking out the rover’s systems before beginning the scientific mission in earnest. Also occurring during this check out phase will be the deployment of the small helicopter ‘Ingenuity’ that Perseverance carried with it to the Martian surface. If it is successful Ingenuity will become the first man-made object to fly on another world.

But even while robotic probes to Mars are dominating the space news this month there’s still some important goings on dealing with human spaceflight back here on Earth. The main news concerns NASA’s Space Launch System (SLS) that had its final hot fire test cut off prematurely back on the 16th of January, see my post of 30 January 2021. In the weeks since then NASA has analyzed the test abort and decided that the only problem was that the test parameters for the hydraulic pressure in a vector control mechanism had been set too narrowly. So while the test did in fact complete 15 out of 23 objectives NASA has decided to redo the test in the hopes of a better outcome.

The Hot Fire test of the SLS first stage started well enough but then aborted after only one minute. NASA has decided to repeat the test in order to get a more complete data set. (Credit: Space News)

    The test was scheduled to be repeated on the 25th of February but that date has already been delayed due to problems with a fuel valve. Another date has not been announced so the test is not likely to occur before March at the earliest. Assuming the second test is more successful than the first the rocket could then be ready to finally be transported to the Kennedy Space Center sometime in April. All this is yet another three months delay on a program that is years behind schedule and billions of dollars over budget.

Which may have a great deal to do with our final item. As a part of its Artemis program to put Americans back on the Moon and to establish a lunar base NASA is determined to also put a space station into orbit around the Moon. Called the Lunar Gateway this station would serve as an outpost for the astronauts on their way to the lunar surface as well as a place to park the lunar lander.

NASA’s full plan for a Lunar Gateway Space Station. Now two modules, the Power And Propulsion Element and the Habitation Module will be launched using Space X’s Falcon Heavy. (Credit: NASAspaceflight.com)

As initially set out by the space agency the construction of the gateway was to be carried out with equipment launched from Earth and sent into lunar orbit by the SLS. However NASA has just selected Space X Corporation to launch the first two sections of Gateway, a decision that was without question due to the enormous costs and unreliability of the SLS. The two sections in question are the Power and Propulsion Element (PPE) along with the Habitation and Logistics Outpost (HALO) module.

 The two modules will now be launched aboard a Space X Falcon Heavy launch vehicle, at a cost to NASA of $318 million dollars, less than half the cost of a single SLS launch. This announcement comes on the heals of last month’s announcement that NASA’s Europa Clipper robotic probe to Jupiter’s moon may also launch on a Falcon Heavy, and latest reporting now says that it almost certainly will. These changes in plan will leave the SLS with only the single remaining task of ferrying astronauts and their Orion capsule back and forth to the moon. All of NASA’s other heavy launch missions for the next decade are being taken over by commercial corporations.

Launch of the first Space X Falcon Heavy. (Credit: Space X)

So it certainly appears that the age of commercial space travel is upon us. NASA, and the space agencies of other nations will continue to carry out the exploration of other worlds. However the task of getting into space, the launching of rockets carrying payloads into orbit will soon belong almost entirely to profit making corporations that are determined to turn space into just another place to earn a dollar.

Space News for September 2019.

There have been several interesting developments is the exploration of space this past month. Most deal with the discoveries made by unmanned probes but one deals with NASA’s Artemis program, the space agency’s plan for returning astronauts to the Moon. I think I’ll start with Artemis.

NASA’s logo for its planned Artemis Program back to the Moon. (Credit: NASA)

You’ll recall that in several posts I have mentioned that NASA intends to build a space station called the Lunar Gateway in orbit around the Moon to use as a depot and waystation for lunar exploration. See posts of 30Sept2017, 24Mar2018, 14Oct2018, 31Dec2018, 6Mar2019 and 29May2019. Additionally NASA hopes to use the Gateway as a platform for studying long-term human occupation of deep space, i.e. space outside of Low Earth Orbit (LOE).

Planned configuration of the Lunar Gateway. (Credit: Spacenews.com)

Currently NASA intends to use a mixture of rocket types to construct the Gateway and the proposed Lunar Lander. This plan would include the massive Space Launch System (SLS) still under development as well as Space X’s Falcon Heavy reusable rocket. The use of reusable rockets as much as possible is thought to be essential for a program that is already grossly underfunded.

Unlike the SLS, Space X’s Falcon Heavy is a reusable rocket and therefore MUCH CHEAPER!!!! (Credit: The Verge)

Well it is starting to appear that some members of congress may not be such big supporters of the Gateway and for once there’s bipartisan agreement. At a recent meeting of the House subcommittee on space both committee chair Oklahoma democrat Kendra Hall and Alabama republican Mo Brooks strongly questioned NASA’s planned use of private rockets at all.

Instead Hall and Brooks want NASA to accelerate the development of the SLS’s ‘Exploration Upper Stage’ (EUS), which is planned to increase the payload that the SLS can deliver to Lunar orbit from 26 to 37 tons. This EUS is a part of NASA’s long term goals for the SLS but it is scarcely beyond the design stage and its development would cost billions and add years to a program that is already well over budget and behind schedule. However the use of the EUS would allow NASA to send a crew directly to the Moon’s surface without the need of a Lunar Gateway. Exactly the way the Apollo program did it back in 1969.

NASA is Currently developing the SLS as configured in the two versions on the left. The EUS would allow the four versions on the right which are capable of delivering much more payload into lunar orbit. (Credit: Vox)

None of this has anything to do with science or engineering or even budget, it’s all about corporate rivalry. You see Boeing is the prime contractor of the current version of the SLS, and would be prime on the development of the EUS. Add to that the fact that Boeing is getting tied of Space X grabbing its market share just because reusable rockets are so much cheaper and you have Boeing trying to use a little political muscle to push Space X out of the Artemis program.

With every bit of news I hear about the Artemis program the more convinced I become that it will achieve nothing except a huge waste of resources. I’m very much afraid that the manned space program will achieve nothing until either the Chinese or perhaps private space companies like Space X are about to land on the Moon. We Americans don’t actually care about exploring space; we just have to be first.

NASA continues to have more success with its unmanned space probes. I suppose that’s because, since they are lower profile than manned missions the agency is allowed to make its decisions based on science and engineering not politics.

One of these successes is the Juno space probe currently studying the planet Jupiter. Recently the spacecraft made its 22nd close approach to the giant planet and was in the right position to take a photo of a very impressive event, an eclipse of the Sun on Jupiter caused by its innermost moon Io. See image below.

Image taken by the Juno Space probe of an eclipse of the Sun on Jupiter caused by it’s innermost moon Io. (Credit: NASA)

Now it turns out that eclipses occur on Jupiter considerably more often than they do here on Earth, after all Jupiter has four large moons all of which are capable of producing eclipses. The eclipses on Jupiter are not as impressive as ours are however because by sheer coincidence the angular size of our Moon and the Sun as seen here on Earth are nearly identical. This means that the Moon just covers the Sun’s disk leaving the entire solar corona visible. See my post of 24August 2017 for the story of my first total eclipse.

On Jupiter however the Sun is about five times further away so it’s angular diameter in Jupiter’s sky is much smaller, only about 0.1º instead of the 0.5º in our sky. That makes the Sun look smaller than any of Jupiter’s four big Moons.

Because it’s the closest, Io looks largest on Jupiter, about as large as our Moon does here on Earth. That means that Io can completely cover not only the Sun’s disk but the entire corona as well. Ganymede and Europa would probably do the same since each of them looks more than two and a half times the diameter of the Sun on Jupiter.

Only Callisto, the farthest of the four from Jupiter, would produce a show similar to that of an Earthly eclipse. Its angular diameter, as seen on Jupiter is only about 40% larger than the Sun’s so under the right conditions a good deal of the corona could probably be seen.

One more interesting fact, since Jupiter has four moons capable of producing eclipses it is quite possible for Jupiter to experience several eclipses, caused by different moons at the same time. I happened to come across an image of Jupiter, taken from Earth in 2009 of three eclipses happening at once! The moons involved are Io, Ganymede and Callisto.

Three eclipses on Jupiter happening at the same time! (Credit: NASA)

The moon Io is in the news for another reason as well. You may recall that the voyager space probes discovered that Io is the most volcanically active place in the solar system. This is because Io is being constantly pulled not only by huge Jupiter itself but by its three brother moons as well. This tugging and squeezing heats up the moon’s interior, heat that is released through volcanoes.

The largest volcano on Io, and the largest known active volcano in the solar system is called Loki after the Norse god of fire. Planetary scientists have been studying this powerful beast as best they could ever since it was first discovered. According to a paper published back in 2002 with lead author Julie Rathbun, Loki erupts on a regular basis about every 500 days.

Jupiter’s moon Io with the monster volcano Loki dead center. (Credit: NASA)

Now Rathbun, who is currently with the Planetary Science Institute, has presented at poster at the current 51st meeting of the Division for Planetary Sciences of the American Astronomical Society. Posters at conferences are a common technique for scientists to announce results of research before a formal paper is written. Doctor Rathbun’s announcement was in fact a prediction that Loki will erupt sometime in the next few days.

Doctor Julie Rathbun has predicted an eruption of Loki within the next few days. (Credit: Twitter)

Now predicting a volcanic eruption is a very risky business. Volcanologists here on Earth have been trying to find some technique for predicting eruptions for centuries now. Doctor Rathbun is confident however and thanks to her warning both telescopes here on Earth and the Juno space probe should be ready to study the event when, and if it occurs.  

Photographing eclipses and predicting eruptions halfway across the solar system, we have come a long way!

Space News for March 2019.

There’s been quite a bit of news about space the past month so let’s get to it!

The big news of course in the successful launch of Space X’s manned version of their Dragon space capsule and its arrival at the International Space Station (ISS). Although in this final test the Dragon capsule is unmanned nevertheless this launch represents the first time that a human capable spacecraft has taken off from American soil since the last Shuttle flight back in 2011. Since that time all American astronauts have had to pay for a ride on the Russian Soyuz spacecraft in order to get to the ISS.

Launch of Space X’s Crew Dragon Capsule (Credit: Press TV)

The test schedule now calls for the Dragon capsule to remain docked with the ISS for several days before returning to Earth. When, and if the capsule reenters the atmosphere and splashes down in the Atlantic Ocean safely NASA and Space X will review the data from the mission before scheduling an actual manned mission later this year. Hopefully by early next year there will be regularly scheduled flights leaving Cape Canaveral for the ISS. Oh, I forgot to mention that once again Space X succeeded in recovering the rocket’s first stage so that it can be used again

The Dragon Capsule Docked at the ISS (Credit: NASA)

Astronauts about the ISS enter the Dragon Capsule (Credit: NASA)

And Space X isn’t alone in this effort; Boeing Corporation also has a human capable space capsule called the Starliner that is scheduled to conduct its unmanned test sometime in April. Both of these companies’ efforts are a part of NASA’s commercial crew program whose intention is to ‘hand off’ the transportation of cargo and personnel up to Low Earth Orbit (LOE) so that NASA can concentrate its efforts on human exploration beyond Earth orbit.

Boeing’s Starliner Capsule being readied from it’s test launch (Credit: Boeing)

With NASA helping to fund the development of both the Dragon and Starliner capsules the two commercial companies hope to find other customers as well. The possibilities of taking patrons to space hotels along with small countries who would like the recognition of putting an astronaut into orbit without the cost of building an entire launch system could be quite profitable. In the long term the commercialization of LOE could jumpstart space travel by lowering cost while increasing access.

 

Of course there’s some other space news as well. Staying with NASA for the moment the space agency has announced its plan for a return to a manned lunar landing by the year 2028. The first part of this plan will be to use the Space Launch System (SLS), now nearing completion, to construct a space station called Gateway in Lunar orbit. One piece of news is the announcement by the nation of Canada that it intends to participate in the construction of Gateway, to the tune of $150 million Canadian dollars per year.

Illustration of the Space Launch System (Credit: NASA)

The Gateway Lunar Orbiting Platform (Credit: Wikipedia)

During the time that Gateway is being built in Lunar orbit a reusable lander module will be developed. That way the Gateway station can serve as a ‘parking garage’ for the lander module with the SLS taking astronauts back and forth to Gateway.

For the moment NASA is asking for bids for a robotic Lunar Lander. Nine companies have been asked to submit bids under the new Commercial Lunar Payload Services or CLPS program. These unmanned landers will be designed to carry a number of different payloads, perhaps one day including supplies to a manned Moon base.

Draper Corp. proposed Lunar Lander for NASA’s CLPS program (Credit: Space News)

 

Finally, further out in space the Japanese probe Hayabusa 2 has successfully touched down on the asteroid Ryugu, you can’t call it a landing the asteroid’s gravity is too low. The asteroid is currently about 270 million kilometers from the Earth. The image below shows the shadow of Hayabusa 2 on the surface on Ryugu as it made it’s final approach.

Shadow of the Hayabusa 2 Probe against the surface of Ryugu (Credit: Universe Today)

Before making contact the probe shot a pinball-sized object at the asteroid in order to kick up a little dust for the space probe to study. Now the probe is on the surface and is preparing to take its first samples of the asteroid’s surface materials.

Artist’s Impression of Hayabusa 2 hovering above Ryugu (Credit: Astronomy.Com)

Two more landings, and sample collections are planned for Hayabusa before it begins its return trip in December of this year (2019). The material collected by Hayabusa is scheduled to arrive back at Earth just a year later in December 2020.

 

Space News for March 2018.

It’s been a quiet month as far as space exploration is concerned. The most interesting news items are actually updates of earlier stories but are rather important in the long term.

The first item I’d like to discuss concerns astronaut Scott Kelly and the continuing research into the medical effects of his yearlong mission to the International Space Station (ISS). You may have heard reports that because of his time in space Scott Kelly and his twin brother Mark Kelly were no longer identical that being in space had actually changed Scott’s DNA!! The image below shows Scott and Mark together, Mark is the one with the mustache.

Scott Kelly (left) with his Brother Mark (Credit: Space.com)

Well that’s not quite true. In fact a very important phrase ‘the expression of’ was left out of some news stories. Now what exactly does that mean? Well, our DNA can ‘express itself’ differently under different environmental conditions.

For example, if you eat a huge amount of food and drink a lot of beer your DNA will express itself by producing a lot of fat cells to store all those calories and you will become obese. On the other hand, if you eat right and exercise you DNA will express itself by producing muscle cells and you will stay trim and fit. Same DNA, it just expresses itself differently depending on what environmental conditions its exposed to.

What the latest medical tests have revealed is that the change in the expression of Scott’s DNA has amounted to about 7%. That’s quite a lot actually but about the same as the results that had been published earlier and within the range of normal variance for DNA expression. Click on the link below to be taken to NASA’s official announcement of the results of Scot Kelly’s medical tests.

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/nasa-twins-study-confirms-preliminary-findings

Before I go on to another subject, Scott Kelly also made some news this week by giving an interview in which he voiced his opinions of America’s space program and its future. The big takeaway from the interview was Scott’s criticism of NASA’s continued low budgets and the increased competition from China. Scott’s warns; “I think that China will overtake the US in the space business–If we allow them to.”

Scott is also concerned about the Trump administration’s recent plans to cut all funding to the ISS starting in 2025 despite the fact that the station’s expected working life takes it to 2028. Kelly is more hopeful when it comes to the scheduled test launches later this year of both Space X’s and Boeing’s space capsules. The first tests this year will be unmanned but hopefully starting next year NASA will no longer be dependent on the Russian’s in order to get our astronauts into space.

And speaking of NASA and the Trump administration the other news this month is that the space agency has continued with its plans to design, build and launch into deep space a Lunar Orbiter Platform called Gateway. The idea behind Gateway is to establish a small space station either in lunar orbit or an orbit around both the Earth and Moon. This station will give NASA experience in operating in deep space as well as a place to carry out solar and astrophysical experiments. The image below shows an image of the planned Gateway station.

Design Illustration of Lunar Gateway Station (Credit: Space.com)

The problem is, take a guess, money! Since Trump has directed NASA to a goal of returning astronauts to the surface of the Moon and then on to Mars where’s the money for Gateway. Once again it seems that NASA just can’t seem to set a clear goal for itself and get the funding necessary to achieve it.

NASA has been without a permanent Chief Administrator since Trump took office and just last week the agency’s interim administrator retired leaving NASA without any real boss. Without leadership from congress and the white house America’s space program will continue to founder without direction.

On a somewhat brighter note, NASA is at least making plans for the outside chance that the Earth will be struck by the asteroid Bennu on 21Sept in the year 2135. According to the best estimate the 500-meter in diameter space rock has a 1 in 2,700 chance of colliding with our planet on that day.

Right now the NASA probe Osiris-REx is on its way to Bennu on a mission that includes taking a sample of the asteroid and returning it to Earth. As a part of this mission NASA should get a better idea of Bennu’s orbit and therefore a better idea of whether Bennu is a future danger to Earth.

Should that prove to be the case NASA is developing a concept it calls the ‘Hypervelocity Asteroid Mitigation Mission for Emergency Response’ or HAMMER. Depending on just how big Bennu is HAMMER will impact on the asteroid to nudge it into a safe orbit or carry a nuclear bomb to destroy it. The image below shows the asteroid Bennu compared to a couple of more familiar objects.

The Asteroid Bennu (Credit: News.com)

Now where have I heard all that before? In a sense NASA is simply using Bennu as an example of a potentially dangerous asteroid to design a mission around. Based on the first part of this post I wonder whether or not by 2135 it will be a Chinese spacecraft that ends up protecting us from Bennu?